Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.004765 0.005390 0.006102 0.006980 0.008046 0.009311 0.010949
2025-12-21 0.004001 0.004815 0.005828 0.007212 0.009102 0.011671 0.015575
2025-12-28 0.003607 0.004529 0.005752 0.007555 0.010255 0.014365 0.021592
2026-01-04 0.003261 0.004223 0.005562 0.007651 0.011024 0.016671 0.028017
2026-01-11 0.002956 0.003919 0.005310 0.007582 0.011483 0.018577 0.034691
2026-01-18 0.002734 0.003701 0.005143 0.007600 0.012068 0.020877 0.043623
2026-01-25 0.002508 0.003449 0.004887 0.007420 0.012242 0.022412 0.051832
2026-02-01 0.002285 0.003180 0.004571 0.007084 0.012039 0.023065 0.058139
2026-02-08 0.002093 0.002940 0.004278 0.006744 0.011759 0.023450 0.064039
2026-02-15 0.002001 0.002850 0.004220 0.006825 0.012367 0.026253 0.081866
2026-02-22 0.001882 0.002706 0.004058 0.006683 0.012458 0.027733 0.096376
2026-03-01 0.001768 0.002564 0.003885 0.006500 0.012418 0.028842 0.111049
2026-03-08 0.001671 0.002449 0.003762 0.006426 0.012687 0.031260 0.140275
2026-03-15 0.001622 0.002409 0.003772 0.006629 0.013716 0.036886 0.213226
2026-03-22 0.001589 0.002396 0.003825 0.006933 0.015115 0.045070 0.369593
2026-03-29 0.001532 0.002334 0.003783 0.007018 0.015939 0.051758 0.598763
2026-04-05 0.001463 0.002248 0.003684 0.006957 0.016315 0.056823 0.917370
2026-04-12 0.001408 0.002183 0.003621 0.006973 0.016945 0.064020 1.648725
2026-04-19 0.001340 0.002089 0.003492 0.006813 0.016955 0.067797 2.597331
2026-04-26 0.001264 0.001975 0.003316 0.006514 0.016423 0.067770 3.352592
2026-05-03 0.001192 0.001868 0.003146 0.006212 0.015820 0.066929 4.147399
2026-05-10 0.001161 0.001834 0.003123 0.006284 0.016586 0.076890 14.142036
2026-05-17 0.001114 0.001767 0.003029 0.006158 0.016587 0.081164 40.738590